Analysis of the four major indicators of the CNC machine tool grinding machine market in 2009, due to the existence of more uncertain factors, it is difficult to make accurate numerical predictions, only a simple judgment of its trend.
1, CNC tool grinding machine output value
Since September 2008, the decline in the sales value of CNC tool grinding machines has been increasing month by month, and the orders for new CNC tool grinding machines have been significantly reduced.
It has been reported that by the end of 2008, the ordering contract for the economical CNC tool grinding machine for ordinary CNC tool grinding machines decreased by 45%, and the contract for high-end CNC tool grinding machines decreased by about 15%. At the beginning of 2009, the number of orders for CNC tool grinding machines decreased, and it is said that the contract can generally last for about 6 months.
From the perspective of the user industry, although there are some demand highlights for the purchase of CNC tool grinding machines, the demand for CNC tool grinding machines in the two major user industries of the first half of the year is still lacking in vitality. In particular, there are not many export-oriented enterprises in coastal areas such as Guangdong and Jiangsu. The willingness to purchase CNC tool grinding machines, the demand for CNC tool grinding machines is difficult to improve. In the second half of the year, with the effect of the national stimulus economic growth policy, the market demand for CNC tool grinding machines will rebound, but CNC tool grinding machines require a certain period of time from order to delivery. Therefore, in general, in 2009, except for the increase in the output value of heavy-duty CNC tool grinders, the sales value of all CNC tool grinder sales will continue to fall, and it is likely to fall back to 10%~15% or even single-digit growth, but the annual CNC The negative growth rate of tool grinding machine sales value is also relatively small.
2, CNC tool grinding machine imports
In 2009, the import value of CNC tool grinding machines is difficult to maintain the upward trend in 2008. Due to the following factors, the impact will be reduced compared with last year: (1) The domestic economic growth rate will fall, and the imported vertical, vertical lathe and double-column vertical CNC The demand for tool grinders has declined, and the government has not introduced a discount policy for imported high-end CNC tool grinders as it did last year; (2) canceled the national treatment for import taxation of CNC tool grinders for foreign-invested enterprises; (3) the import substitution capability of domestic CNC tool grinders. It has been enhanced, and internationally renowned manufacturers have set up more and more CNC tool grinding machines in China; (4) The orders for processing orders of mechanical and electrical products have decreased, and the number of CNC tool grinding machines imported for processing trade has also been reduced accordingly. On the other hand, it should also be noted that there is indeed a gap between the performance quality of national products and imported products in the field of high-end CNC tool grinding machines, and some varieties are still not available in China, and this year, the world CNC tool grinding machine market is in a downturn, overseas CNC Tool grinder manufacturers will also strengthen the national market competition. Based on various factors, it is estimated that the amount of CNC tool grinding machine imports will fall within 20% in 2009, and the amount will remain at a high level of over US$6 billion.
3. CNC tool grinding machine export volume
The global economic growth has obviously slowed down. The three major economies of the United States, Japan and Europe have fallen into recession. The rapid growth of China's CNC tool grinding machine exports will be reversed. The reduction of export contracts since September 2008 is a sign. However, with the support of the government to increase the export tax rebate rate, through the market diversification strategy to improve the structure of export products, although the export value of CNC tool grinding machines in China may have negative growth in 2009, the decline is not too great.
4, CNC tool grinder consumption
Since the value of the import and export value of the CNC tool grinding machine in 2009 cannot be accurately predicted, it is naturally difficult to predict the specific value of the consumption. However, it can be judged that the increase in the consumption of CNC tool grinders in 2009 will continue to fall and will be less than the increase in the output value of CNC tool grinders.
The development of the CNC tool grinding machine market is wave-like, which means that it has periodicity. In 2009, the national CNC tool grinding machine market is in a cyclical down phase, and the growth of major economic indicators is further inevitable. The facts show that the developers affected by this financial crisis are the weakest low-end CNC tool grinder manufacturers. Today's market not only requires CNC tool grinder manufacturers to speed up product structure adjustment, but also requires speeding up the transformation of development mode, focusing on improving product performance and quality enhancement services, and cultivating their own independent development capabilities. In this way, we can turn "crisis" into "machine" and gain new development opportunities.
1, CNC tool grinding machine output value
Since September 2008, the decline in the sales value of CNC tool grinding machines has been increasing month by month, and the orders for new CNC tool grinding machines have been significantly reduced.
It has been reported that by the end of 2008, the ordering contract for the economical CNC tool grinding machine for ordinary CNC tool grinding machines decreased by 45%, and the contract for high-end CNC tool grinding machines decreased by about 15%. At the beginning of 2009, the number of orders for CNC tool grinding machines decreased, and it is said that the contract can generally last for about 6 months.
From the perspective of the user industry, although there are some demand highlights for the purchase of CNC tool grinding machines, the demand for CNC tool grinding machines in the two major user industries of the first half of the year is still lacking in vitality. In particular, there are not many export-oriented enterprises in coastal areas such as Guangdong and Jiangsu. The willingness to purchase CNC tool grinding machines, the demand for CNC tool grinding machines is difficult to improve. In the second half of the year, with the effect of the national stimulus economic growth policy, the market demand for CNC tool grinding machines will rebound, but CNC tool grinding machines require a certain period of time from order to delivery. Therefore, in general, in 2009, except for the increase in the output value of heavy-duty CNC tool grinders, the sales value of all CNC tool grinder sales will continue to fall, and it is likely to fall back to 10%~15% or even single-digit growth, but the annual CNC The negative growth rate of tool grinding machine sales value is also relatively small.
2, CNC tool grinding machine imports
In 2009, the import value of CNC tool grinding machines is difficult to maintain the upward trend in 2008. Due to the following factors, the impact will be reduced compared with last year: (1) The domestic economic growth rate will fall, and the imported vertical, vertical lathe and double-column vertical CNC The demand for tool grinders has declined, and the government has not introduced a discount policy for imported high-end CNC tool grinders as it did last year; (2) canceled the national treatment for import taxation of CNC tool grinders for foreign-invested enterprises; (3) the import substitution capability of domestic CNC tool grinders. It has been enhanced, and internationally renowned manufacturers have set up more and more CNC tool grinding machines in China; (4) The orders for processing orders of mechanical and electrical products have decreased, and the number of CNC tool grinding machines imported for processing trade has also been reduced accordingly. On the other hand, it should also be noted that there is indeed a gap between the performance quality of national products and imported products in the field of high-end CNC tool grinding machines, and some varieties are still not available in China, and this year, the world CNC tool grinding machine market is in a downturn, overseas CNC Tool grinder manufacturers will also strengthen the national market competition. Based on various factors, it is estimated that the amount of CNC tool grinding machine imports will fall within 20% in 2009, and the amount will remain at a high level of over US$6 billion.
3. CNC tool grinding machine export volume
The global economic growth has obviously slowed down. The three major economies of the United States, Japan and Europe have fallen into recession. The rapid growth of China's CNC tool grinding machine exports will be reversed. The reduction of export contracts since September 2008 is a sign. However, with the support of the government to increase the export tax rebate rate, through the market diversification strategy to improve the structure of export products, although the export value of CNC tool grinding machines in China may have negative growth in 2009, the decline is not too great.
4, CNC tool grinder consumption
Since the value of the import and export value of the CNC tool grinding machine in 2009 cannot be accurately predicted, it is naturally difficult to predict the specific value of the consumption. However, it can be judged that the increase in the consumption of CNC tool grinders in 2009 will continue to fall and will be less than the increase in the output value of CNC tool grinders.
The development of the CNC tool grinding machine market is wave-like, which means that it has periodicity. In 2009, the national CNC tool grinding machine market is in a cyclical down phase, and the growth of major economic indicators is further inevitable. The facts show that the developers affected by this financial crisis are the weakest low-end CNC tool grinder manufacturers. Today's market not only requires CNC tool grinder manufacturers to speed up product structure adjustment, but also requires speeding up the transformation of development mode, focusing on improving product performance and quality enhancement services, and cultivating their own independent development capabilities. In this way, we can turn "crisis" into "machine" and gain new development opportunities.
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