
Industry experts believe that many current hardware mold companies are facing challenges such as limited funding and weak brand recognition. In response, these firms are expected to increase investments in management and technological upgrades, expand their high-end product offerings, and establish domestic sales teams to better tap into the growing Chinese market. This shift is seen as a crucial step toward long-term sustainability and profitability.
Looking ahead, analysts predict a significant rise in the profits of Chinese industrial companies in the coming months. After a strong rebound in the fourth quarter of last year, driven by the recovery of the world’s second-largest economy, the trend appears to be continuing. The momentum is expected to carry through 2013, with many sectors showing signs of improvement.
Data from December 2012 shows that the total profit of large-scale industrial enterprises in China rose by 17.3% year-on-year to 895.2 billion yuan (US$144 billion). This marked the third consecutive month of double-digit growth for the sector. However, this positive trend followed eight consecutive months of declining profits in 2012, which had raised concerns among investors. To counter this, the government implemented more flexible monetary policies and increased infrastructure spending to stimulate economic growth.
According to the leader of the China Manufacturing Champions League, the average profit growth for industrial companies in 2013 is expected to reach 30%, with the highest growth likely occurring in the third quarter. Several factors are contributing to this outlook: robust infrastructure and real estate investment, modestly rising export demand, falling raw material prices, and a low base from 2012. With a 30% profit increase expected in 2013, the industry is set for a strong recovery after a relatively flat year in 2012, when overall profits only grew by 5.3%.
While China's GDP growth slowed to 7.8% in 2012—the lowest in 13 years—there was a noticeable rebound in the fourth quarter. This helped industrial companies break free from negative growth and signaled a potential turnaround.
Experts forecast that the economic recovery will continue at least through the first half of 2013, and the mold and die industry is expected to benefit from this trend. Although the overall profits of Chinese industrial companies have improved, some sectors are still struggling due to overcapacity and slow industry growth. Out of 41 industries surveyed by the National Bureau of Statistics, 29 saw profit increases. However, steelmakers' profits dropped by 37%, and chemical companies saw a 6% decline. On the other hand, power generation companies experienced a 69% surge in profits, while mold manufacturers reported gains of over 20%, and food processing companies saw nearly 21% growth.
State-owned and state-controlled enterprises, however, faced a 5.1% drop in profits, totaling 1.42 trillion yuan in 2012. Despite the slowdown, China still contributed about one-third of the global economic growth of 3.2%. As the country continues to implement reforms and focus on high-value manufacturing, the future looks promising for key industries like hardware molds and beyond.
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